Sunday, April 18, 2010

4/18/10 Old Friends

The up move beginning last SEptember has run into substantial resistance, generating a count of 8 across the 47 line. Should we start down which I think is likely a retest of 39 is probable.

As mentioned in a previous post, we had a count of 7 across the 149 line with a target of 156.  The pound fell about half a point short so the final x was not registered and it was stopped by the previous support/resistance line at the 3"o's" at 156.  It also looks like a trendline goes through 155 off 166 and 162.  The pound might be a good trade for those wanting to play the possible unwinding of the carry trade if risk assets begin to fall.  The pound-yen and euro-yen have performed  well at this  in the past.